Of Interest

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Monday, April 28, 2014

Thomas Piketty is a rock-star economist — can he re-write the American dream?

Thomas Piketty is a rock-star economist — can he re-write the American dream?

When the movie is made about the fall of Western capitalism, Thomas Piketty will be played by Colin Firth. Piketty, whom the Financial Times called a “rock-star economist”, isn’t a household name — but he should be, and he has a better shot than any other economist. He is the author and researcher behind a 700-page economic manifesto, titled Capital in the 21st Century, that details the path of income inequality over several hundred years.
This sublime nerdishness is, somehow, a huge hit. It is now No 1 on Amazon’s bestseller list and sold out in many bookstores. When Piketty spoke on a panel this month at New York’s CUNY with three other economists — two of them Nobel-prize winners, Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman — the Frenchman was the headliner. The event was so packed that the organizers had to create three overflow rooms. Weeks after the release of Capital, intellectuals are still salivating, even calling Piketty the new de Tocqueville.
This is quite a burst of stardom for a man who, despite his understated Gallic charm, is very much the bearer of bad news. Piketty’s sublimely nerdy book, packed with graphs, statistics and history, is all evidence for an immensely depressing theory: that the meritocracy of capitalism is a big, fat lie.
Piketty’s research, which is immaculate, reaches back hundreds of years to establish a simple thesis: the American dream — and more broadly, the egalitarian promise of Western-style capitalism — does not, and maybe cannot, deliver on its promises. That, he writes, is because economic growth will always be smaller than the profits from any money that is invested. Economic growth is what we all benefit from, but profits from invested money accrue only to the rich.
The consequences of this are clear: those who have family fortunes are the winners, and everyone else doesn’t have much of a shot of being wealthy unless they marry into or inherit money. It’s Jane Austen all over again, and we’ve just fooled ourselves that the complicated financial system has changed a thing.
This is a deep point. Many American households, if they are lucky, will grow their wealth at the same rate as the economy. But, because the wealthy are growing their fortunes at a much faster rate, no one else can ever catch up.
Let’s repeat that: no one else can ever catch up.
This is where Piketty adds more nuance: it’s not just inequality of wealth and income that we’re struggling with, but inequality of opportunity. That’s of far more concern. In essence, he is saying, we’re lying to ourselves if we believe that hard work will lead to wealth. Mainly, wealth reliably leads to wealth. Everything else is chancy. The middle class is playing the economic lottery to improve their lot in life, while the wealthy have a sure thing.
This is clearly fraught — and to some, like the New York Times columnist David Brooks, it sounds like class war (he calls it “angry progressivism”). Piketty’s purpose is not to point out that inequality exists, or that it’s growing — both of which have been established ad nauseum by everyone from President Obama to Pope Francis. Piketty’s point is that we are actually doomed to inequality.
It’s hard to argue with this, really — Piketty’s research is too good, too sprawling, too complete. It’s as good as fact. It codifies what many suspected. Piketty’s point is accepted wisdom in most of Europe, where, in France and Germany, the morality of capitalism is regularly questioned.
But there remains a lot of controversy anyway. Why? Because Piketty wants to change the lever on income inequality by putting a tax on wealth — not on income, which is the stuff of the middle class, but on fortunes themselves, on the money that is invested and reinvested and compounded and grown....
*** The Guardian / link

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